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Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats . Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor.
Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. It’s still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. It’s still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump.
Analyzing the vote
Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. J.D. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire.
Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesn’t release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. U.S. Senate › Arizona’s Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. Flipped House Seats in New York › Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley.
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Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Democrats also won the Governor’s office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. But are you ready for the temperature to drop? We are offering 20% off 'A' rated windows to help you get your home energy efficient in time for winter.
But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. While the race for Georgia’s senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governor’s race was decided last night. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate.
Where Walker received less of the vote than Kemp
In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washington’s 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorado’s 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Constitutional Amendment 2 › Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. Results › Arizona’s closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting.
Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Four counties — all of which supported Trump in 2020 — voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate.
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The polls just closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. N.C. U.S. Senate › The race for North Carolina’s open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Abortion on the Ballot › We’re getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. The polls just closed in Montana, Utah and parts of Nevada, Idaho and Oregon. N.C. U.S. Senate › In North Carolina’s Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Vance, a Republican and the “Hillbilly Elegy” author, is very likely to win Ohio’s Senate race, according to our estimates.
Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida.
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